Braves at Phillies - MLB

Matchup Factors

Citizens Bank Park Wind

MPH to

Philadelphia, PA Forecast

ATL Record

Total

85-5859%

Home

48-2467%

Away

37-3452%

Favored

60-3762%

Underdog

25-2154%

PHI Record

Total

80-6356%

Home

39-3255%

Away

41-3157%

Favored

71-3865%

Underdog

9-2526%

Last 5 Games

DateOppScoreO/ULine

9/6

W5-4

-108

9/5

L4-2

8.5

+138

9/4

W5-2

6.5

-104

9/2

W9-0

9.5

-136

9/1

L9-5

9.5

-148

Last 5 Games

DateOppScoreO/ULine

9/6

L5-4

-112

9/5

W4-2

8.5

-168

9/4

L5-2

6.5

-116

9/2

L1-0

8.5

-130

9/2

W7-1

7.5

-134

Probable Pitchers

Pitchers expected to throw the 'bulk' of the game

ATL Starting Pitcher

Grant Holmes

ATLExpectedRHP

Split	Starts	IP	ERA	WHIP	OBA	ISO	K%	K/9	HR/9	Brl%
'26	26	131.2	3.69	1.33	.235	.152	18.5%	7.2	1.2	10.5%
'26 Away	12	64.1	2.66	1.10	.192	.109	18.9%	6.9	0.8	11.5%
'26 Day	9	44.2	2.62	1.21	.221	.135	17.9%	6.9	0.8	9.8%
'25	21	115	4.07	1.36	.232	.153	25.0%	9.8	1.3	10.7%

Split	BF	HR	1B	2B	3B	BB	OBA	SLG	ISO	Brl%	HH%	K%
'26 vs RHB	223	7	34	10	0	16	.251	.404	.153	9.9%	38.9%	19.3%
'26 vs LHB	335	11	44	9	1	38	.223	.375	.151	11.0%	46.6%	17.9%
'25	492	16	67	15	1	54	.232	.385	.153	10.7%	41.9%	25.0%

Outs

Strikeouts

Hits

PHI Starting Pitcher

Jesús Luzardo

PHIExpectedLHP

Split	Starts	IP	ERA	WHIP	OBA	ISO	K%	K/9	HR/9	Brl%
'26	28	169.2	3.44	1.14	.225	.122	29.7%	11.2	0.8	7.8%
'26 Home	13	77.2	4.87	1.13	.230	.182	28.9%	10.8	1.4	10.3%
'26 Day	8	48.2	3.33	1.03	.199	.114	31.1%	11.5	0.9	6.0%
'25	33	191.1	3.90	1.22	.238	.113	28.5%	10.7	0.8	8.6%

Split	BF	HR	1B	2B	3B	BB	OBA	SLG	ISO	Brl%	HH%	K%
'26 vs RHB	526	14	76	27	1	42	.251	.401	.151	8.8%	34.4%	27.8%
'26 vs LHB	165	1	19	2	0	9	.145	.178	.033	4.2%	29.2%	35.8%
'25	787	16	122	34	0	58	.238	.351	.113	8.6%	36.3%	28.5%

Outs

Strikeouts

Hits

Batting Orders

ATL Batting Order

Expected

2 LHB, 6 RHB, 1 SW

Batter	AB	H	HR	AVG	SLG	K%	Brl%	Hits
1R. AcuñaR. AcuñaR	338	87	16	.257	.450	26.0%	14.2%	--
2D. BaldwinD. BaldwinL	474	132	22	.279	.452	24.3%	15.0%	--
3O. AlbiesO. AlbiesSW	541	136	21	.251	.414	15.3%	4.9%	--
4M. OlsonM. OlsonL	551	138	37	.251	.512	28.3%	19.4%	--
5L. ThomasL. ThomasR	320	73	11	.228	.391	27.8%	8.6%	--
6M. DubónM. DubónR	501	134	11	.268	.391	12.8%	3.4%	--
7S. MurphyS. MurphyR	68	15	3	.221	.397	38.2%	9.5%	--
8M. RileyM. RileyR	502	112	16	.223	.366	34.7%	16.0%	--
9H. KimH. KimR	96	11	0	.115	.125	28.1%	2.9%	--

PHI Batting Order

Expected

6 LHB, 3 RHB, 0 SW

Batter	AB	H	HR	AVG	SLG	K%	Brl%	Hits
1K. SchwarberK. SchwarberL	503	122	41	.242	.525	38.2%	20.2%	--
2T. TurnerT. TurnerR	561	136	17	.242	.382	22.1%	6.4%	--
3B. HarperB. HarperL	498	135	27	.271	.500	25.1%	12.9%	--
4L. ArraezL. ArraezL	539	171	6	.317	.430	4.6%	1.1%	--
5A. BohmA. BohmR	500	123	15	.246	.388	15.6%	7.0%	--
6B. StottB. StottL	472	120	10	.254	.400	18.9%	6.4%	--
7B. MarshB. MarshL	478	128	17	.268	.420	26.8%	10.1%	--
8J. RealmutoJ. RealmutoR	355	78	10	.220	.352	23.1%	6.5%	--
9J. CrawfordJ. CrawfordL	367	99	2	.270	.354	18.0%	1.6%	--

Atlanta Injuries

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Philadelphia Injuries

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